ASTROLOGY AND POLITICS: 2018 U.S. MIDTERM ELECTION PREDICTIONS

Political Contest Horary AstroProbability*
and the 2018 U.S. Midterm Election

Updated October 13, 2018

Overview

This page lists the predictions for the party to control the Senate and House after the 2018 U.S. Midterm Election, as well as predictions for the outcome of the Closely Contested District and State Elections for House and Senate seats from:

  • Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight (Senate | House)
  • PredictIt (Senate | House)
  • CNN Politics
  • Politico
  • Real Clear Politics (Senate | House)
  • Political Contest Horary AstroProbabiliy generated by a team of political contest horary astrologers led by mundane astrologer William Stickevers

Political Contest Horary AstroProbability*

Each horary question will be focused on a specific race, as well as control of the Senate and House of Representatives.

This page will be updated every week leading up to the November 6th Midterm Election.

*AstroProbability: a composite set of mundane astrology forecasting methods.
Margin of Error is +/- 1.9% with a 95% level of confidence.

Political Contest Horary AstroProbability Accuracy Track Record:

  • 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election – 92% correct
  • 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Elections – 87% correct
  • 2014 U.S. Midterm “Too Close To Call” Elections – 83% correct
  • 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election – 88% correct
  • 2010 U.S. Midterm “Toss-Up” Senate and House Elections – 80% correct
  • 2008 U.S. Presidential General Election – 96% correct
  • 2008 U.S. Presidential Primary “Too Close To Call” Elections – 80% correct

Political Contest Horary Dream Team led by William Stickevers:

  • Joyce Lambert (2016, 2018)
  • Justine M. Rowinski (2016, 2018)
  • Norma Jean Ream (2018)
  • Alan L. Lin (2018)
  • Jerry Ketel (2018)
  • Michael Jameson (2018)
  • Maureen Higdon (2018)

Read about the Political Contest Horary Dream Team Astrologers.


Senate

AstroProbability Projection for the November 6th 2018 U.S. Midterm Election

Senate Control

51 Seats Needed for Majority

as of October 10, 2018:

Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver
PredictIt CNN Politics
Politico
Real Clear Politics
Political Contest Horary AstroProbability
as of Sep 12
Senate Control US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
80.5%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
84%
n/a US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
n/a US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
75%

Record of the Previous Senate Projections here.

Senate – Closely Contested Elections

as of October 10, 2018:

Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver
PredictIt CNN Politics
Politico
Real Clear Politics
Political Contest Horary AstroProbability

Arizona (AZ)
Sinema-D vs McSally-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
63.3%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
53%
50/50 50/50 50/50 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
52%
Florida (FL)
Nelson*-D vs Scott-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
61.1%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
51%
50/50 50/50 50/50 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
52%
Indiana (IN)
Donnelly*-D vs Braun-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
77.0%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
53%
50/50 50/50 50/50 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
51%
Minnesota (MN) – Special Election
Smith*-D vs Housley-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
89.5%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
87%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Likely
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Likely
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
50%
Mississippi (MS) – Special Election
Espy-D vs Hyde-Smith*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
83.7%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
91%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
60%
Missouri (MO)
McCaskill*-D vs Hawley-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
55.8%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
62%
50/50 50/50 50/50 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
51%
Montana (MT)
Tester*-D vs Rosendale-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
84.3%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
64%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
50/50 US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
64%
Nebraska (NE)
Raybould-D vs Fischer*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
96.7%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
94%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP US_Republican_Party_LogoREP US_Republican_Party_LogoREP US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
85%
Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver
PredictIt CNN Politics
Politico
Real Clear Politics
Horary – AstroProbability
Nevada (NV)
Rosen-D vs Heller*-R
 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
51.7%
50/50 50/50 50/50 50/50 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
51%
New Jersey (NJ)
Menendez*-D vs Hugin-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
92.2%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
78%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
55%
North Dakota (ND)
Heitkamp*-D vs Cramer-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
68.0%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
80%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
50%
Ohio (OH)
Brown*-D vs Renacci-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
96.2%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
89%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Likely
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Likely
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Likely
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
85%
Pennsylvania (PA)
Casey*-D vs Barletta-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
97.6%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
90%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Likely
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Likely
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Likely
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
90%
Tennessee (TN)
Bredesen-D vs Blackburn-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
79.1%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
83%
50/50 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
50/50 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
60%
Texas (TX)
O’Rourke-D vs Cruz*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
74.8%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
79%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
56%
West Virginia (WV)
Manchin*-D vs Morrisey-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
88.8%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
79%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
58%
Wisconsin (WI)
Baldwin*-D vs Vukmir-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
97.3%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
87%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Likely
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
58%

Record of the Previous Senate Projections here.



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House of Representatives

AstroProbability Projection for the November 6th 2018 U.S. Midterm Election

House Control

218 Seats Needed for Majority Control

as of October 13, 2018:

Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver
PredictIt CNN Politics
Politico
Real Clear Politics
Political Contest Horary AstroProbability
as of Sep 13
House Control US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
78.4%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
68%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
53%

Record of the Previous House Projections here.

House of Representatives – Closely Contested Elections

as of October 13, 2018:

State, District
*incumbent
Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver
PredictIt CNN Politics
Politico
Real Clear Politics
Political Contest Horary AstroProbability
as of Oct 11
Alaska (AK), At Large
Galvin-D vs Young-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
74.8%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
80%
Arizona (AZ), 1st
O’Halleran*-D vs Rogers-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
84.8%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
80%
Arizona (AZ), 2nd
Kirkpatrick-D vs Peterson-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
95.7%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
89%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
90%
Arizona (AZ), 6th
Malik-D vs Schweikert-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
91.9%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
90%
Arizona (AZ), 8th
Tipirneni-D vs Lesko*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
73.7%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
80%
Arkansas (AR), 2nd
Tucker-D vs Hill*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
82.7%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
70%
California (CA), 4th
Morse-D vs McClintock*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
85.5%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
85%
California (CA), 10th
Harder-D vs Denham*-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
71.8%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
65%
50/50 50/50 50/50 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
52%
California (CA), 21st
Cox-D vs Valadao*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
80.2%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
93%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
75%
California (CA), 22nd
Janz-D vs Nunes*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
97.0%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
91%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
60%
California (CA), 24th
Carbajal*-D vs Fareed-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
98.0%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Likely
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Likely
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
85%
California (CA), 25th
Hill-D vs Knight*-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
69.6%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
57%
50/50 US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
50/50 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
52%
California (CA), 39th
Cisneros-D vs Kim-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
53.3%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
55%
50/50 50/50 50/50 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
52%
California (CA), 45th
Porter-D vs Walters*-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
69.1%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
65%
50/50 50/50 50/50 US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
52%
California (CA), 48th
Rouda-D vs Rohrabacher*-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
58.1%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
55%
50/50 50/50 50/50 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
52%
California (CA), 49th
Levin-D vs Harkey-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
94.3%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
82%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
50%
California (CA), 50th
Campa-Najjar-D vs Hunter*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
87.2%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
80%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
80%
Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver
PredictIt CNN Politics
Politico
Real Clear Politics
Horary AstroProbability
Colorado (CO), 3rd
Bush-D vs Tipton*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
62.2%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
75%
Colorado (CO), 6th
Crow-D vs Coffman*-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
83.8%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
80%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
60%
Connecticut (CT), 5th
Hayes-D vs Santos-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
97.8%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
93%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Likely
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
60%
Florida (FL), 6th
Soderberg-D vs Waltz-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
73.6%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
65%
Florida (FL), 15th
Carlson-D vs Spano-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
67.2%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
80%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
55%
Florida (FL), 16th
Shapiro-D vs Buchanan*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
87.8%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
80%
Florida (FL), 18th
Baer-D vs Mast*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
88.5%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
65%
Florida (FL), 25th
Flores-D vs Diaz-Balart*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
73.6%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
80%
Florida (FL), 26th
Mucarsel-Powell-D vs Curbelo*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
51.2%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
60%
50/50 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
50/50 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
52%
Florida (FL), 27th
Shalala-D vs Salazar-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
76.5%
50/50 50/50 50/50 50/50 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
53%
Georgia (GA), 6th
McBath-D vs Handel*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
87.8%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
60%
Georgia (GA), 7th
Bourdeaux-D vs Woodall*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
69.1%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
60%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
55%
Illinois (IL), 6th
Casten-D vs Roskam*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
66.3%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
62%
 50/50 50/50 50/50 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
52%
Illinois (IL), 12th
Kelly-D vs Bost*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
60.6%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
63%
50/50 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
50/50 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
52%
Illinois (IL), 13th
Londrigan-D vs Davis*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
75.3%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
80%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
75%
Illinois (IL), 14th
Underwood-D vs Hultgren*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
68.5%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
75%
Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver
PredictIt CNN Politics
Politico
Real Clear Politics
Horary AstroProbability
Indiana (IN), 9th
Watson-D vs Hollingsworth*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
80.1%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
85%
Iowa (IA), 1st
Finkenauer-D vs Blum*-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
96.1%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
88%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
65%
Iowa (IA), 3rd
Axne-D vs Young*-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
56.7%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
51%
50/50 50/50 50/50 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
52%
Iowa (IA), 4th
Scholten-D vs King*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
89.5%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
85%
Kansas (KS), 2nd
Davis-D vs Watkins-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
50.5%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
51%
50/50 50/50 50/50 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
60%
Kansas (KS), 3rd
Davids-D vs Yoder*-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
53.8%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
71%
50/50 US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
50/50 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
50%
Kentucky (KT), 6th
McGrath-D vs Barr*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
53.1%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
64%
50/50 50/50 50/50 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
55%
Maine (ME), 2nd
Golden-D vs Poliquin*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
62.1%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
55%
50/50 50/50 50/50 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
55%
Michigan (MI), 1st
Morgan-D vs Bergman*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
83.4%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
80%
Michigan (MI), 6th
Longjohn-D vs Upton*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
87.5%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
55%
Michigan (MI), 7th
Driskell-D vs Walberg*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
63.0%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
70%
Michigan (MI), 8th
Slotkin-D vs Bishop*-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
51.0%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
59%
50/50 50/50 50/50 US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
55%
Michigan (MI), 11th
Stevens-D vs Epstein-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
78.7%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
68%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
65%
Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver
PredictIt CNN Politics
Politico
Real Clear Politics
Horary AstroProbability
Minnesota (MN), 1st
Feehan-D vs Hagedorn-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
66.5%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
70%
50/50 50/50 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
65%
Minnesota (MN), 2nd
Craig-D vs Lewis*-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
84.0%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
74%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
70%
Minnesota (MN), 3rd
Phillips-D vs Paulsen*-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
82.8%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
83%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
60%
Minnesota (MN), 7th
Peterson*-D vs Hughes-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
92.4%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Likely
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Likely
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
75%
Minnesota (MN), 8th
Radinovich-D vs Stauber-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
83.5%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
70%
50/50 50/50 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
55%
Missouri (MO), 2nd
VanOstran-D vs Wagner*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
88.8%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
80%
Montana (MT) – AL
Williams-D vs Gianforte*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
72.9%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
80%
Nebraska (NE), 2nd
Eastman-D vs Bacon*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
67.0%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
75%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
80%
Nevada (NV), 3rd
Lee-D vs Tarkanian-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
71.2%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
80%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Likely
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
60%
Nevada (NV), 4th
Horsford-D vs Hardy-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
81.1%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
64%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
60%
New Hampshire (NH), 1st
Sullivan-D vs Sanborn-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
88.5%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
84%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
75%
New Jersey (NJ), 3rd
Kim-D vs MacArthur*-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
61.2%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
58%
50/50 50/50 50/50 US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
53%
New Jersey (NJ), 4th
Welle-D vs Smith-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
94.7%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
65%
New Jersey (NJ), 5th
Gottheimer*-D vs McCann-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
96.0%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Likely
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Likely
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
65%
New Jersey (NJ), 7th
Malinowski-D vs Lance*-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
61.8%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
55%
50/50 50/50 50/50 US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
53%
New Jersey (NJ), 11th
Sherrill-D vs Webber-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
76.8%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
79%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
50/50 US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
55%
New Mexico (NM), 2nd
Small-D vs Herrell-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
61.8%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
55%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
50/50 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
55%
Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver
PredictIt CNN Politics
Politico
Real Clear Politics
Horary AstroProbability
New York (NY), 1st
Gershon-D vs Zeldin*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
87.1%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
89%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
80%
New York (NY), 2nd
Shirley-D vs King-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
83.1%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
80%
New York (NY), 11th
Rose-D vs Donovan*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
77.2%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
58%
New York (NY), 19th
Delgado-D vs Faso*-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
52.3%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
49%
50/50 50/50 50/50 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
51%
New York (NY), 22nd
Brindisi-D vs Tenney*-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
66.3%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
70%
50/50 50/50 50/50 US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
60%
New York (NY), 24th
Balter-D vs Katko*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
85.6%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
85%
New York (NY), 27th
McMurray-D vs Collins*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
88.8%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
74%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
53%
North Carolina (NC), 2nd
Coleman-D vs Holding-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
64.0%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
50/50 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
55%
North Carolina (NC), 8th
McNeill-D vs Hudson*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
87.6%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP US_Republican_Party_LogoREP US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
90%
North Carolina (NC), 9th
McCready-D vs Harris-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
50.1%
50/50 50/50 50/50 50/50 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
55%
North Carolina (NC), 13th
Manning-D vs Budd*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
60.7%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
77%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
65%
Ohio (OH), 1st
Pureval-D vs Chabot*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
78.1%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
87%
50/50 50/50 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
52%
Ohio (OH), 7th
Harbaugh-D vs Gibbs*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
91.6%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
85%
Ohio (OH), 12th
O’Connor-D vs Balderson*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
68.9%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
68%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
75%
Ohio (OH), 14th
Rader-D vs Joyce*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
83.4%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
80%
Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver
PredictIt CNN Politics
Politico
Real Clear Politics
Horary AstroProbability
Oklahoma (OK), 5th
Horn-D vs Russell-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
84.8%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
80%
Pennsylvania (PA), 1st
Wallace-D vs Fitzpatrick*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
53.0%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
53%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
50/50 50/50 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
52%
Pennsylvania (PA), 7th
Wild-D vs Nothstein-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
96.9%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
60%
Pennsylvania (PA), 8th
Cartwright*-D vs Chrin-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
87.4%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Likely
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Likely
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Likely
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
75%
Pennsylvania (PA), 10th
Scott-D vs Perry*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
75.6%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
51%
Pennsylvania (PA), 17th
Lamb-D vs Rothfus*-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
90.6%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
93%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Likely
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
60%
South Carolina (SC), 1st
Cunningham-D vs Arrington-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
89.8%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
75%
Texas (TX), 2nd
Litton-D vs Crenshaw-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
92.5%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
60%
Texas (TX), 6th
Sanchez-D vs Wright-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
94.6%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
93%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
75%
Texas (TX), 7th
Fletcher-D vs Culberson*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
52.6%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
63%
50/50 50/50 50/50 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
60%
Texas (TX), 21st
Kopser-D vs Roy-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
86.1%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
85%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
88%
Texas (TX), 22nd
Kulkarni-D vs Olson-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
87.4%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
80%
Texas (TX), 23rd
Jones-D vs Hurd*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
66.6%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
87%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
60%
Texas (TX), 24th
McDowell-D vs Marchant-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
96.2%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
80%
Texas (TX), 32nd
Allred-D vs Sessions*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
69.5%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
70%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
50/50 50/50 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
53%
Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver
PredictIt CNN Politics
Politico
Real Clear Politics
Horary AstroProbability
Utah (UT), 4th
McAdams-D vs Love*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
61.2%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
50/50 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
85%
Virginia (VA), 2nd
Luria-D vs Taylor*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
74.6%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
78%
50/50 50/50 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
80%
Virginia (VA), 5th
Cockburn-D vs Riggleman-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
50.7%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
50/50 US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
50%
Virginia (VA), 7th
Spanberger-D vs Brat*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
64.4%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
58%
50/50 50/50 50/50 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
52%
Virginia (VA), 10th
Wexton-D vs Comstock*-R
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
85.8%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
86%
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
60%
Washington (WA), 3rd
Long-D vs Herrera Beutler*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
76.2%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Likely
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
65%
Washington (WA), 5th
Brown-D vs Rodgers*-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
80.1%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
80%
Washington (WA), 8th
Schrier-D vs Rossi-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
56.0%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
55%
50/50 US_Democratic_Party_LogoDEM
Lean
50/50 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
51%
Wisconsin (WI), 1st
Bryce-D vs Steil-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
80.4%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
79%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
75%
Wisconsin (WI), 6th
Kohl-D vs Grothman-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
74.3%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
58%
West Virginia (WV), 3rd
Ojeda-D vs Miller-R
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
90.6%
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
77%
50/50 50/50 US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
Lean
US_Republican_Party_LogoREP
80%

Record of the Previous House Projections here.

104/0



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