2010 U.S. Midterm Election Predictions

2010 U.S. Midterm Election Predictions

by William Stickevers
November 1, 2010

The following are astrologically derived predictions using polling and prediction market data. From October 1st-31st, 2010, I posted my predictive results for each race on my Facebook page and finally posted them on my website on November 1st, 2010. Each of the contest horary charts can be viewed on Facebook and will be posted on this website shortly.

Gubernatorial Race

Voters will elect governors in 37 states this November. Nineteen of those governorships are now held by Democrats, while Republicans sit in the governor’s chair in 18 of the states.

Ten states are currently viewed as Toss-Ups. The Toss-Up states are California, Florida, Colorado, Wisconsin, Maryland, Ohio, Minnesota, Connecticut, Oregon, Colorado, and Vermont. Using polling and prediction market data in conjunction with horary astrology we will forecast the 2010 gubernatorial winners for each Toss-Up state.

FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver William Stickevers, Political Contest Horary  FINAL RESULT
California Governor – Brown (D) vs. Whitman (R)  Brown  Brown Brown
Florida Governor – Scott (R) vs. Sink (D)  Scott  Scott Scott
Wisconsin Governor Walker (R) vs. Barrett (D) Walker Walker Walker
Maryland Governor – O’Malley (D)* vs. Ehrlich (R)  O’Malley  O’Malley O’Malley
Ohio Governor – Kasich (R) vs. Strickland (D)  Kasich  Kasich Kasich
Minnesota Governor – Dayton (D) vs. Emmer (R)  Dayton  Dayton Dayton
Connecticut Governor – Foley (R) vs. Malloy (D) Malloy red-x Foley Malloy
Oregon Governor – Dudley (R) vs. Kitzhaber (D) Kitzhaber Kitzhaber Kitzhaber
Vermont Governor – Shumlin (D) vs. Dubie (R)  Shumlin Shumlin Shumlin

Senate Race

There are seven Senate races that are Toss-Up and could also go either way on Election Day that will determine the balance of power in the U.S. Senate. The Toss-Up Senate States are California, Nevada, Illinois, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Washington, and West Virginia.

FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver William Stickevers, Political Contest Horary  FINAL RESULT
California Senate – Boxer (D)* vs. Fiorina (R)  Boxer Boxer Boxer
Colorado Senate – Buck (R) vs. Bennet (D) red-x Buck red-x Buck Bennet
Nevada Senate – Reid (D)* vs. Angle (R) red-x Angle red-x Angle Reid
Illinois Senate – Kirk (R) vs. Giannoulias (D)  Kirk Kirk Kirk
Wisconsin Senate – Johnson (R) vs. Feingold (D) Johnson Johnson Johnson
Pennsylvania Senate – Toomey (R) vs. Sestak (D) Toomey Toomey Toomey
Washington Senate: Murray (D)* vs. Rossi (R) Murray red-x Rossi Murray
West Virginia Senate Special Election – Manchin (D) vs. Raese (R) Manchin Manchin Manchin

Congressional Race

There are 18 House of Representative districts that could go either way that the pundits are watching closely — races that will be employed as bellwethers on how big a night the Republicans are heading for on Election Day on November 2nd.

Again, using polling and prediction market data in conjunction with horary astrology we will forecast the 2010 House of Representative winners for each Toss-Up district.

FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver William Stickevers, Political Contest Horary  FINAL RESULT
Alabama 2nd District – Bright (D)* vs. Roby (R) not available Roby Roby
Arizona 5th District – Schweikert (R) vs. Mitchell (D)* not available Schweikert Schweikert
Florida 22nd District – West (R)* vs. Klein (D) not available West West
Hawaii 1st District – Hanabusa (D) vs. Djou (R)* not available red-x Djou Hanabusa
Illinois 17th District – Schilling (R) vs. Hare (D)* not available Schilling Schilling
Indiana 9th District – Hill (D)* vs. Young (R) not available Young Young
Iowa 2nd District – Loebsack (D)* vs. Miller-Meeks (R)  not available Loebsack Loebsack
Massachusetts 4th District – Frank (D)* vs. Bielat (R) not available Frank Frank
Michigan 7th District – Schauer (D)* vs. Walberg (R) not available red-x Schauer Walberg
Minnesota 8th District – Oberstar (D)* vs. Cravaack (R)  not available  Cravaack  Cravaack
Missouri 4th District – Skelton (D)* vs. Hartzler (R)  not available  Hartzler  Hartzler
Nevada 3rd District – Heck (R) vs. Titus (D)*  not available  Heck  Heck
New Mexico 1st District – Heinrich (D)* vs. Barela (R)  not available  Heinrich  Heinrich
Ohio 18th District – Space (D)* vs. Gibbs (R)  not available  Gibbs  Gibbs
Oregon 5th District – Schrader (D)* vs. Bruun (R)  not available  Schrader  Schrader
Pennsylvania 8th District – Fitzpatrick (R) vs. Murphy (D)*  not available  Fitzpatrick  Fitzpatrick
South Dakota At-Large – Noem (R) vs. Herseth Sandlin (D)*  not available  Noem  Noem
Wisconsin 7th District – Duffy (R) vs. Lassa (D)  not available  Duffy  Duffy


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