Astrology and Politics: U.S. Presidential Election Predictions 2016 – Primaries

Click here for
2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Predictions






Track Record for 99 elections D+R as of June 15, 2016:

graph_ACCURACY_2016-06-15_v3

FiveThirtyEight PredictIt Political Prediction Market (CNN) William Stickevers
89% correct 88% correct 88% correct 87% correct
57 projections 97 projections 42 projections 98 projections
(Complete Accuracy Track Record here)

Winning Projections

*AstroProbability: a composite set of mundane astrology forecasting methods.

as of June 6, 2016:

July 18-21

FiveThirtyEight PredictIt Political Prediction Market (CNN) William Stickevers’ AstroProbability* (4/29/16)
Republican National Convention  Trump 92%  n/a Trump 85%

July 25-28

FiveThirtyEight PredictIt Political Prediction Market (CNN) William Stickevers’ AstroProbability* (4/29/16)
Democratic National Convention  Clinton 92%  Clinton 97% Clinton 95%

(Previous Projections Accuracy Track Record here)


Delegate Count

DEMOCRATIC DELEGATE ESTIMATE (as of June 15, 2016)
from www.cnn.com/election/primaries/parties/democrat

REPUBLICAN DELEGATE ESTIMATE (as of June 15, 2016)
from www.cnn.com/election/primaries/parties/republican



Popular Vote

from Real Clear Politics Dem Rep

as of June 10, 2016

Clinton: 15,805,136
Trump: 13,300,472
Sanders: 12,029,669

(Complete Vote Count by State here)



PREDICTIONS

GOP Candidates

2016-election_Donald_Trump
Donald Trump – I predict he will win the GOP nomination for the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election.

Prediction: (January 26, 2016)
Based on the horary testimonies, it is highly probable that Trump will win both Iowa and New Hampshire, and then go on to win South Carolina and Nevada — as he is favored to do — and likely  conceivably win every contest. (Read entire prediction post)

Real Clear Politics Poll Average
2016 Presidential Nomination
as of May 4, 2016

  • Donald Trump – 46.5%
  • Ted Cruz – 27.0%
  • John Kasich – 18.0%

Older polling data below


Democratic Candidates

Prediction: (April 28, 2016)
Astrological indicators based on Politcal Contest Horary snapshots of the Democratic Primary Race are now indicating Hillary Clinton’s nomination.

Sanders’ campaign has signaled to the Democratic establishment that he is looking to shape the Democratic platform at the party’s convention, but also insisting he will remain in the race until then.

Real Clear Politics Poll Average
2016 Presidential Nomination
as of June 5, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 52.8%
  • Bernie Sanders – 41.4%

Older polling data below



Las Vegas Oddsmakers –
Winning the U.S. Presidency

as of June 15, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 73.53%
  • Donald Trump – 25.00%
  • Bernie Sanders – 2.44%
  • Joe Biden – 1.96%
  • Gary Johnson – 0.40%

Older betting odds below



Blog Posts on the 2016 Election

Solar Ingress 2016 and the Presidential Election [VIDEO]
(March 31, 2016)
Read blog post.
Voter Revolts, Globalization, and Uranus-Pluto [VIDEO]
(March 31, 2016)
Read blog post.
[2016 Election] Candidates, Primaries, and Super Tuesday Predictions
(March 15, 2016)
Read blog post.
For the Record…
(March 12, 2016)
Read blog post.
Super Saturday: 2016 Primary Election Projections
(March 5, 2016)
Read blog post.
Trump vs. Cruz: GOP Nomination Prediction
(January 26, 2016)
Read blog post.
30 Days to Go: Are Trump Supporters Angry Enough to Vote?
(January 2, 2016)
Read blog post.


2016 Primaries

Feb. 1
IOWA
2016-election_Hillary_Clinton_thumb   

Feb. 9
NEW HAMPSHIRE
2016-election_Bernie-Sanders_thumb   2016-election-prediction_Donald_Trump_thumb

Feb. 20
NEVADA DEMOCRATIC CAUCUS
2016-election_Hillary_Clinton_thumb

SOUTH CAROLINA REPUBLICAN PRIMARY
2016-election_placeholder   2016-election_Donald_Trump_thumb

Feb. 23
NEVADA REPUBLICAN CAUCUS
2016-election_placeholder   2016-election_Donald_Trump_thumb

Feb. 27
SOUTH CAROLINA DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
2016-election_Hillary_Clinton_thumb

March 1
ALABAMA
2016-election_Hillary_Clinton_thumb   2016-election_Donald_Trump_thumb

ALASKA REPUBLICAN CAUCUS
2016-election_placeholder 

ARKANSAS
2016-election_Hillary_Clinton_thumb   2016-election_Donald_Trump_thumb

COLORADO DEMOCRATIC CAUCUS
2016-election_Bernie-Sanders_thumb

GEORGIA
2016-election_Hillary_Clinton_thumb   2016-election_Donald_Trump_thumb

MASSACHUSETTS
2016-election_Hillary_Clinton_thumb   2016-election_Donald_Trump_thumb

MINNESOTA
2016-election_Bernie-Sanders_thumb   2016-election-prediction_Marco-Rubio_thumb

OKLAHOMA
2016-election_Bernie-Sanders_thumb   

TENNESSEE
2016-election_Hillary_Clinton_thumb   2016-election_Donald_Trump_thumb

TEXAS
2016-election_Hillary_Clinton_thumb   

VERMONT
2016-election_Bernie-Sanders_thumb   2016-election_Donald_Trump_thumb

VIRGINIA
2016-election_Hillary_Clinton_thumb   2016-election_Donald_Trump_thumb

March 5
KANSAS
2016-election_Bernie-Sanders_thumb  

KENTUCKY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY
2016-election_placeholder   2016-election_Donald_Trump_thumb

LOUISIANA
2016-election_Hillary_Clinton_thumb   2016-election_Donald_Trump_thumb

MAINE REPUBLICAN CAUCUS
2016-election_placeholder  

NEBRASKA DEMOCRATIC CAUCUS
2016-election_Bernie-Sanders_thumb

March 6
MAINE DEMOCRATIC CAUCUS
2016-election_Bernie-Sanders_thumb

PUERTO RICO REPUBLICAN PRIMARY
2016-election_placeholder   2016-election-prediction_Marco-Rubio_thumb

March 8
HAWAII REPUBLICAN CAUCUS
2016-election_placeholder   2016-election_Donald_Trump_thumb

IDAHO REPUBLICAN PRIMARY
2016-election_placeholder  

MICHIGAN
2016-election_Bernie-Sanders_thumb   2016-election_Donald_Trump_thumb

MISSISSIPPI
2016-election_Hillary_Clinton_thumb   2016-election_Donald_Trump_thumb

March 12
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA REPUBLICAN CAUCUS
2016-election_placeholder   2016-election-prediction_Marco-Rubio_thumb

GUAM REPUBLICAN CAUCUS
2016-election_placeholder  

NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS DEMOCRATIC CAUCUS
2016-election_Hillary_Clinton_thumb   2016-election_Donald_Trump_thumb

WYOMING REPUBLICAN CAUCUS
2016-election_placeholder  

March 15
FLORIDA
2016-election_Hillary_Clinton_thumb   2016-election_Donald_Trump_thumb

ILLINOIS
2016-election_Hillary_Clinton_thumb   2016-election_Donald_Trump_thumb

MISSOURI
2016-election_Hillary_Clinton_thumb   2016-election_Donald_Trump_thumb

NORTH CAROLINA
2016-election_Hillary_Clinton_thumb   2016-election_Donald_Trump_thumb

OHIO
2016-election_Hillary_Clinton_thumb   2016-election_John-Kasich_thumb

March 22
ARIZONA
2016-election_Hillary_Clinton_thumb   2016-election_Donald_Trump_thumb

IDAHO DEMOCRATIC CAUCUS
2016-election_Bernie-Sanders_thumb

UTAH
2016-election_Bernie-Sanders_thumb   

March 26
ALASKA DEMOCRATIC CAUCUS
2016-election_Bernie-Sanders_thumb

HAWAII DEMOCRATIC CAUCUS
2016-election_Bernie-Sanders_thumb

WASHINGTON DEMOCRATIC CAUCUS
2016-election_Bernie-Sanders_thumb

April 5
WISCONSIN
2016-election_Bernie-Sanders_thumb   

April 9
WYOMING DEMOCRATIC CAUCUS
2016-election_Bernie-Sanders_thumb

April 19
NEW YORK
2016-election_Hillary_Clinton_thumb   2016-election_Donald_Trump_thumb

April 26
CONNECTICUT
2016-election_Hillary_Clinton_thumb   2016-election_Donald_Trump_thumb

DELAWARE
2016-election_Hillary_Clinton_thumb   2016-election_Donald_Trump_thumb

MARYLAND
2016-election_Hillary_Clinton_thumb   2016-election_Donald_Trump_thumb

PENNSYLVANIA
2016-election_Hillary_Clinton_thumb   2016-election_Donald_Trump_thumb

RHODE ISLAND
2016-election_Bernie-Sanders_thumb   2016-election_Donald_Trump_thumb

May 3
INDIANA
2016-election_Bernie-Sanders_thumb   2016-election_Donald_Trump_thumb

May 10
NEBRASKA REPUBLICAN PRIMARY
2016-election_placeholder   2016-election_Donald_Trump_thumb

WEST VIRGINIA
2016-election_Bernie-Sanders_thumb   2016-election_Donald_Trump_thumb

May 17
KENTUCKY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
2016-election_Hillary_Clinton_thumb

OREGON
2016-election_Bernie-Sanders_thumb   2016-election_Donald_Trump_thumb

May 24
WASHINGTON REPUBLICAN PRIMARY
2016-election_placeholder   2016-election_Donald_Trump_thumb

June 7
CALIFORNIA
2016-election_Hillary_Clinton_thumb   2016-election_Donald_Trump_thumb

MONTANA
2016-election_Bernie-Sanders_thumb  2016-election_Donald_Trump_thumb

NEW JERSEY
2016-election_Hillary_Clinton_thumb   2016-election_Donald_Trump_thumb

NEW MEXICO
2016-election_Hillary_Clinton_thumb   2016-election_Donald_Trump_thumb

NORTH DAKOTA DEMOCRATIC CAUCUS
2016-election_Bernie-Sanders_thumb

SOUTH DAKOTA
2016-election_Hillary_Clinton_thumb   2016-election_Donald_Trump_thumb

June 14
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA DEMOCRATIC CAUCUS
2016-election_Hillary_Clinton_thumb

July 18-21
Republican National Convention
2016-election_placeholder   2016-election_Donald_Trump_thumb

July 25-28
Democratic National Convention
2016-election_Hillary_Clinton_thumb

November 8
U.S. Presidential Election




 

PAST POLLING DATA AND ODDS

GOP Candidates

as of May 4, 2016

  • Donald Trump – 46.5%
  • Ted Cruz – 27.0%
  • John Kasich – 18.0%

as of May 2, 2016

  • Donald Trump – 45.4%
  • Ted Cruz – 29.0%
  • John Kasich – 20.2%

as of April 27, 2016

  • Donald Trump – 43.0%
  • Ted Cruz – 30.0%
  • John Kasich – 21.0%

as of April 17, 2016

  • Donald Trump – 40.3%
  • Ted Cruz – 31.3%
  • John Kasich – 21.5%

as of April 13, 2016

  • Donald Trump – 40.4%
  • Ted Cruz – 30.6%
  • John Kasich – 21.0%

as of April 6, 2016

  • Donald Trump – 39.9%
  • Ted Cruz – 32.9%
  • John Kasich – 20.9%

as of March 30, 2016

  • Donald Trump – 42.1%
  • Ted Cruz – 31.7%
  • John Kasich – 19.3%

as of March 22, 2016

  • Donald Trump – 43.0%
  • Ted Cruz – 30.3%
  • John Kasich – 19.1%

as of March 17, 2016

  • Donald Trump – 35.7%
  • Ted Cruz – 26.7%
  • John Kasich – 18.7%

as of March 8, 2016

  • Donald Trump – 36.0%
  • Ted Cruz – 21.8%
  • Marco Rubio – 18.0%
  • John Kasich – 12.0%

as of March 6, 2016

  • Donald Trump – 37.5%
  • Ted Cruz – 19.3%
  • Marco Rubio – 18.3%
  • John Kasich – 9.5%
  • Ben Carson – 8.7%

as of February 28, 2016

  • Donald Trump – 35.6%
  • Ted Cruz – 19.8%
  • Marco Rubio – 17.4%
  • Ben Carson – 9.0%
  • John Kasich – 8.8%

as of February 24, 2016

  • Donald Trump – 33.2%
  • Ted Cruz – 20.3%
  • Marco Rubio – 16.7%
  • John Kasich – 9.3%
  • Ben Carson – 7.5%
  • Jeb Bush – 5.8%

as of February 22, 2016

  • Donald Trump – 33.6%
  • Ted Cruz – 20.4%
  • Marco Rubio – 16.4%
  • John Kasich – 9.8%
  • Ben Carson – 7.4%
  • Jeb Bush – 5.8%

as of February 17, 2016

  • Donald Trump – 33.8%
  • Ted Cruz – 21.0%
  • Marco Rubio – 16.3%
  • John Kasich – 8.8%
  • Ben Carson – 6.0%
  • Jeb Bush – 4.5%

as of February 12, 2016

  • Donald Trump – 29.0%
  • Ted Cruz – 21.0%
  • Marco Rubio – 20.3%
  • Ben Carson – 7.3%
  • John Kasich – 4.7%
  • Jeb Bush – 4.0%
  • Chris Christie – 3.0%
  • Carly Fiorina – 2.7%

as of February 6, 2016

  • Donald Trump – 29.5%
  • Ted Cruz – 21.0%
  • Marco Rubio – 17.8%
  • Ben Carson – 7.8%
  • Jeb Bush – 4.5%
  • John Kasich – 4.0%
  • Chris Christie – 2.5%
  • Carly Fiorina – 2.5%

as of February 4, 2016

  • Donald Trump – 33.2%
  • Ted Cruz – 20.7%
  • Marco Rubio – 13.3%
  • Ben Carson – 7.8%
  • Jeb Bush – 4.5%
  • Chris Christie – 3.0%
  • Rand Paul – 3.0%
  • John Kasich – 2.8%
  • Mike Huckabee – 2.0%
  • Carly Fiorina – 2.2%
  • Rick Santorum – 0.2%

as of January 29, 2016

  • Donald Trump – 35.8%
  • Ted Cruz – 19.6%
  • Marco Rubio – 10.2%
  • Ben Carson – 7.6%
  • Jeb Bush – 4.8%
  • Chris Christie – 3.0%
  • Rand Paul – 2.4%
  • John Kasich – 2.4%
  • Mike Huckabee – 2.2%
  • Carly Fiorina – 1.8%
  • Rick Santorum – 0.4%

Democratic Candidates

as of May 31, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 53.3%
  • Bernie Sanders – 42.5%

as of May 23, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 52.0%
  • Bernie Sanders – 43.4%

as of May 21, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 51.4%
  • Bernie Sanders – 43.4%

as of May 4, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 50.3%
  • Bernie Sanders – 44.5%

as of May 1, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 49.7%
  • Bernie Sanders – 44.8%

as of April 24, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 49.5%
  • Bernie Sanders – 45.8%

as of April 17, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 47.7%
  • Bernie Sanders – 46.3%

as of April 13, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 47.2%
  • Bernie Sanders – 46.0%

as of April 9, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 46.8%
  • Bernie Sanders – 45.8%

as of April 6, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 49.1%
  • Bernie Sanders – 44.3%

as of March 30, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 51.0%
  • Bernie Sanders – 42.4%

as of March 23, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 51.5%
  • Bernie Sanders – 42.5%

as of March 20, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 50.8%
  • Bernie Sanders – 43.8%

as of March 7, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 51.0%
  • Bernie Sanders – 39.6%

as of February 28, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 49.6%
  • Bernie Sanders – 40.0%

as of February 24, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 47.2%
  • Bernie Sanders – 42.2%

as of February 16, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 49.3%
  • Bernie Sanders – 36.5%

as of February 12, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 49.0%
  • Bernie Sanders – 35.3%

as of February 18, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 50%
  • Donald Trump – 20%
  • Marco Rubio – 11.11%
  • Bernie Sanders – 11.11%
  • Ted Cruz – 4.76%

as of February 13, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 50%
  • Donald Trump – 20%
  • Bernie Sanders – 11.76%
  • Marco Rubio – 10%
  • Ted Cruz – 5.88%

as of February 6, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 49.3%
  • Bernie Sanders – 36.0%

as of February 4, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 50.5%
  • Bernie Sanders – 37.2%
  • Martin O’Malley – 2.3%

as of January 29, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 51.6%
  • Bernie Sanders – 37.2%
  • Martin O’Malley – 2.2%

Las Vegas Oddsmakers – Winning the U.S. Presidency

as of June 8, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 73.53%
  • Donald Trump – 28.57%
  • Bernie Sanders – 2.44%
  • Joe Biden – 1.96%
  • Paul Ryan – 0.50%

as of June 6, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 69.44%
  • Donald Trump – 29.41%
  • Bernie Sanders – 4.76%
  • Joe Biden – 2.44%
  • Paul Ryan – 0.50%

as of May 25, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 62.5%
  • Donald Trump – 33.33%
  • Bernie Sanders – 3.85%
  • Joe Biden – 2.44%
  • Paul Ryan – 0.66%

as of May 18, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 69.44%
  • Donald Trump – 28.57%
  • Bernie Sanders – 3.85%
  • Joe Biden – 1.49%
  • Paul Ryan – 0.66%

as of May 6, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 72.46%
  • Donald Trump – 26.67%
  • Bernie Sanders – 2.94%
  • Joe Biden – 1.23%
  • John Kasich – 0.99%

as of May 6, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 71.43%
  • Donald Trump – 28.57%
  • Bernie Sanders – 2.44%
  • Joe Biden – 0.99%
  • John Kasich – 0.99%

as of May 3, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 72.46%
  • Donald Trump – 30.77%
  • Ted Cruz – 2.94%
  • Bernie Sanders – 2.44%
  • Joe Biden – 0.99%

as of April 27, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 75.18%
  • Donald Trump – 20.00%
  • Ted Cruz – 3.45%
  • Bernie Sanders – 2.44%
  • John Kasich – 0.99%

as of April 20, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 71.43%
  • Donald Trump – 18.18%
  • Ted Cruz – 5.26%
  • Bernie Sanders – 2.94%
  • John Kasich – 2.44%

as of April 15, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 66.67%
  • Donald Trump – 14.29%
  • Ted Cruz – 7.69%
  • Bernie Sanders – 6.67%
  • John Kasich – 2.94%

as of April 7, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 65.36%
  • Donald Trump – 12.5%
  • Bernie Sanders – 10.00%
  • Ted Cruz – 7.69%
  • John Kasich – 3.45%

as of April 2, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 68.03%
  • Donald Trump – 16.67%
  • Bernie Sanders – 7.69%
  • Ted Cruz – 4.76%
  • John Kasich – 4.35%

as of March 28, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 68.97%
  • Donald Trump – 25.00%
  • Bernie Sanders – 6.67%
  • Ted Cruz – 3.03%
  • John Kasich – 2.44%

as of March 21, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 65.36%
  • Donald Trump – 23.81%
  • John Kasich – 3.85%
  • Bernie Sanders – 3.23%
  • Ted Cruz – 2.94%

as of March 13, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 69.44%
  • Donald Trump – 23.09%
  • Bernie Sanders – 7.69%
  • Ted Cruz – 3.85%
  • John Kasich – 2.94%

as of March 9, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 65.36%
  • Donald Trump – 22.22%
  • Bernie Sanders – 6.66%
  • Ted Cruz – 4.76%
  • John Kasich – 3.23%

as of March 8, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 66.66%
  • Donald Trump – 22.22%
  • Ted Cruz – 4.76%
  • Bernie Sanders – 4.35
  • John Kasich – 3.23%

as of March 5, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 65.36%
  • Donald Trump – 23.09%
  • Marco Rubio – 5.88%
  • Bernie Sanders – 3.85%
  • Ted Cruz – 2.44%

as of March 2, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 63.69%
  • Donald Trump – 30.77%
  • Marco Rubio – 5.26%
  • Bernie Sanders – 3.45%
  • Ted Cruz – 1.96%

as of February 27, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 57.80%
  • Donald Trump – 25.00%
  • Marco Rubio – 11.11%
  • Bernie Sanders – 3.85%
  • Michael Bloomberg – 1.49%

as of February 24, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 54.64%
  • Donald Trump – 23.53%
  • Marco Rubio – 13.33%
  • Bernie Sanders – 6.67%
  • Michael Bloomberg – 1.96%

as of February 23, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 54.64%
  • Donald Trump – 22.22%
  • Marco Rubio – 18.18%
  • Bernie Sanders – 6.67%
  • Michael Bloomberg – 2.44%

as of February 21, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 52.36%
  • Marco Rubio – 18.18%
  • Donald Trump – 18.18%
  • Bernie Sanders – 9.09%
  • Ted Cruz – 2.44%

as of February 10, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 50%
  • Donald Trump – 18.18%
  • Bernie Sanders – 11.76%
  • Marco Rubio – 11.11%
  • Ted Cruz – 5.88%

as of February 8, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 52.36%
  • Marco Rubio – 22.22%
  • Donald Trump – 12.5%
  • Bernie Sanders – 9.09%
  • Ted Cruz – 4.76%

as of February 5, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 52.36%
  • Marco Rubio – 26.67%
  • Donald Trump – 11.11%
  • Bernie Sanders – 11.11%
  • Ted Cruz – 5.88%

as of February 3, 2016

  • Hillary Clinton – 52.36%
  • Marco Rubio – 25%
  • Donald Trump – 11.76%
  • Bernie Sanders – 11.11%
  • Ted Cruz – 5.88%

as of February 2, 2016

  • Donald Trump NOT to be GOP nominee – 80%
  • Hillary Clinton – 52.36%
  • Hillary Clinton NOT to win 2016 Presidential Election – 50%
  • Marco Rubio – 25%
  • Bloomberg to announce run for President – 25%

as of January 31, 2015

  • Hillary Clinton – 54.05%
  • Donald Trump – 23.09%
  • Marco Rubio – 11.76%
  • Bernie Sanders – 11.11%
  • Jeb Bush – 3.85%

 

 

4 thoughts on “Astrology and Politics: U.S. Presidential Election Predictions 2016 – Primaries”

Leave a Comment

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: