2016 General Election: Astrologers Need to Quit Thinking that the Polls Are a Reliable Indicator that Predict Who is Going to Win

Political Astrologers: Keep in mind going forward in your political forecasting practice that 99% of the polls predicted a Hillary Clinton victory on Election Day. The RealClearPolitics average of polls one day before the election had Clinton ahead by 3.2 percentage points over Trump, the Republican nominee. In fact, the final poll from the Reuters State of the Nation project put the odds at 90 percent that Clinton, the Democratic nominee, would win decisively. Even the infallible Huffington Post’s model predicted a 98.2 percent chance of a Clinton victory!

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Both thought that Clinton would win the states of Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin.

Even the omniscient FiveThirtyEight pollster, the great Nate Silver, predicted a certain Clinton election and had Clinton with a 71 percent chance of winning on Election eve.

Final Projections for the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election from FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver
Final Projections for the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election from FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver

But the great Hillary lost Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, which few if any pollsters had forecast, while also losing the states of North Carolina and Florida. She was blown out in Ohio.

Pollsters also say they erred significantly with their predictions of who would come out to vote on Election Day, because they based turnout models 2012 General Election (using the past to equal the future) based on the exit poll results that found that 38 percent of voters were Democrats, compared to 32 percent who were Republicans.

But as we all know by now, that’s not what happened.

Exit polls showed Democrats with about a 2-point lead in terms of who showed up on Election Day, compared to the 6-point edge they held in 2012. For 13 percent of voters told exit pollsters they decided their vote in the campaign’s final week, with good portion (70-30) breaking for Trump, hurting Clinton.

Keep in mind that nearly 32 percent of people in this nation don’t finalize their Christmas shopping until Christmas Eve. Now why would any political pundit or pollster think they would finalize their voting decisions any differently?

And that major oversight is exactly why the 2016 election results put egg on the U.S. polling industry’s face, not to mention most of the astrologers, as well, who used polling numbers over the course of the campaign for validation of their astrological forecast of a decisive Hillary victory in November.

How each county voted in the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election
How each county voted in the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election

 

Below are five stunning facts about the 2016 election that most astrologers missed in their framing of the 2016 General Election and Forecast:

  1. The Clinton Campaign Promoted Trump as a Republican Candidate. Team Clinton promoted Donald Trump as a Republican candidate because they thought he’d be easy to beat.
  2. Sanders Had a Better Chance of Beating Trump …  But the Democratic Establishment Sabotaged Him. Sanders (like Trump) created a tremendous amount of excitement, with massive turnout at his rallies. Clinton didn’t.
  3. Trump Took the Overwhelming Majority of U.S. Counties. So, while Clinton won the popular vote – since the Northeast, California and a couple of other large metropolitan districts went for Clinton – most areas of America did not.
  4. The Numbers Show that Trump Did NOT Win Because of Racism and Sexism. While Clinton supporters frequently assume that Trump supporters are all racists and sexists, the numbers show that this is NOT TRUE.
  5. So why did voters elect Trump? Because – just like the Brexit voters – they’ve rejected globalism.

Barbault Planetary Cyclic Index_2010-2020

Prediction:

The Mundane Astrological portents from 2017-2020 augur that we are facing an unprecedented breakthrough in the collective: a global change that will definitively overwhelm the unipolar world order created after the fall of the Soviet Union, and sent into overdrive the so-called War on Terror and U.S. military intervention in Iraq, Libya, and Syria, caused by the 9/11 terrorist attacks.  The unexpected and unparalleled victory of Donald Trump is the most illustrative representation of a major repudiation by the American populace of the so-called establishment and its transnational globalist agenda.